United states national intelligence council us nic. The national intelligence councils nics 2008 report global trends 2025. The united states national intelligence council nic and the. Global food security federation of american scientists. New national intelligence council report on global trends. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. A transformed world nic november 2008 march 17 2020 the national intelligence council nic was formed in 1979. Numerous reports and data exist to help identify trends. Six technologies with potential impacts on us interests out to 2025, conference report, april 2008. Global trends 2025 office of director of national intelligence united states govt. Global governance 2025 federation of american scientists. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during.
A transformed world pdf link makes for a freshly bracing. Caldwell, professor emeritus, university of arizona updated november 23, 2008 introduction this paper was originally developed as background for group meetings involving strategic planning. A transformed world is the fourth unclassified report prepared by the national intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of the future. Global trends 2025, a new report written by the us national intelligence council nic ahead of presidentelect barack obamas inauguration, envisages a future world marked by diminished us power, dwindling resources, and more people. Nic global trends 2025 study issued in november 2008. Governance is getting harder, and the nature of power is changing.
A transformed world the national intelligence councils 2025 project. Jan 04, 2012 it is published every five years to analyze trends and forecast likely scenarios of worldwide development fifteen years into the future. I use global trends 2025 as a site for investigating what sorts of geopolitical knowledge are circulating at the highest tiers of government in the us. In march, april, and may 2008 the long term strategy group convened three workshops on behalf of the national intelligence councils longrange analysis unit in support of the nics 2025 global trends effort. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. A publication of the national intelligence council global trends. The most recent is called global trends 2025 and was published in november 2008. To support the development of the national intelligence councils global trends 2025, sri consulting business intelligence sricbi was asked to identify six potentially disruptive civil or dual use technologies that could emerge in the coming fifteen years 2025.
Globalization at risk with the 2008 financial crisis. Nov 25, 2008 the nic report is titled global trends 2025. Global trends 2025 a transformed world report of the nic. In contrast to the global trends 2025 scenarios, which served many audiences concerned with the future strategic landscape, the qicr scenarios contain. The increased use of mobile technologies and smart devices in the area of health has caused great impact on the world. A new framework for anticipating the future roger l.
Although the report is close to 40,000 words long, it contains a series of convenient textboxes which summarize the key predi. For sale by the superintendent of documents, us government printing office internet. The report is not meant to be an exercise in prediction or crystal ballgazing. As an intelligence organization, the nic could only go as. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence councilled effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Nov 20, 2008 by 2025, the international system will be a global multipolar one with gaps in national power continuing to narrow between developed and developing countries. Caldwell, professor emeritus, university of arizona updated january 25, 2009 introduction this paper was originally developed as background for group meetings involving strategic planning. How to read the national intelligence councils latest global. National intelligence council nic the us center for midterm and longterm strategic thinking published in november 2008 a document called global trends 2025. Trends 2025, sri consulting business intelligence sricbi was asked to. A transformed world 2008a is the inspiration and data for this thesis. Nic 2025 outlook on the end of us dominance welcome to the.
The nic, an independent government body, emphasises that its report is not about crystalball gazing but. In 2004, the nic projections for 2020 did not even mention global climate change. Officially, hes the deputy director of national intelligence for analysis as well as the chairman of the national. In contrast to the global trends 2025 scenarios, which served many audiences concerned with the future strategic landscape, the qicr scenarios contain additional breadth, granularity, and nuance to. Sri consulting business intelligence i to support the development of the national intelligence councils global trends 2025, sri consulting business intelligence sricbi was asked to. Chinas vision of world order the national bureau of. Strategic implications of global health, december 2008 foldout map global trends 2025.
A transformed world, published in late 2008, noted that momentous change was ahead, with. Dec 21, 2008 national intelligence council nic the us center for midterm and longterm strategic thinking published in november 2008 a document called global trends 2025. Global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. We judge that the overall risk of food insecuritya in many countries of strategic importance to the united states will increase during the next 10 years because of production, transport, and market disruptions to local food availability, lower purchasing power, and counterproductive government. Coronavirus potential emergence of a global pandemic. How to read the national intelligence councils latest. A transformed world pdf link makes for a freshly bracing reading. National intelligence council 2008 global trends 2025. National intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of. To support the development of the national intelligence council s global trends 2025, sri consulting business intelligence sricbi was asked to identify six potentially disruptive civil or dual use technologies that could emerge in the coming fifteen years 2025. Statelessness, the 2010 global trends report demonstrates the continued relevance of forced displacement and statelessness issues to the international agenda. This item is available to borrow from 1 library branch.
Trends 2025, sri consulting business intelligence sric bi was asked to. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. This report summarizes the findings of three workshops on the security. Concurrent with the shift in power among nationstates, the relative power of various nonstate actorsincluding businesses, tribes, religious organizations, and criminal networksis increasing. A transformed world projects what the world will look like in 2025 based on recent trends. The national intelligence council sponsors workshops and. Oct 14, 20 the information in this video short are screen grabs from three pdf reports available online for further reading. Discovering the future through action as well as analysis, 7 pp. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to.
Concurrent with the shift in power among nationstates, the relative power of various nonstate actorsincluding businesses, tribes, religious organizations, and criminal networksis. Since the mid 1990s, the nic has produced four editions of its landmark global trends report. By 2025, the international system will be a global multipolar one. January 29, 2009 recent commissions and studies and background information sources interim report of the congressional commission on the strategic posture of the. Six technologies with potential impacts on us interests out to 2025. Health experts are increasingly taking advantage of the benefits these technologies bring, thus generating a significant improvement in health care in clinical settings and out of them. Sohn comments on the global trends report, the fourth installment of the nics effort to identify.
A transformed world, published in late 2008, noted that. A transformed world opens pdf paints a bleak picture of the future but with a few glimpses of hope. However, as an intelligence organization, the nic limits its report to describing the impacts of future trends on the united states it cannot explore the important question. Workingage populations are shrinking in wealthy countries, china, and russia but growing in developing, poorer countries, particularly in africa and south asia, increasing economic, employment. It depicts some of the major humanitarian trends which occurred during 2010 in relation to displacement, either within or beyond international borders. The national intelligence councils 2025 project pdf 8,3mb here, which also contains although a pretty short one paragraph. Everybody, including nic, now seem to agree that usa squandered its unipolar moment. Boosting opportunities and growth through tax reform.
The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Nov 21, 2008 new national intelligence council report on global trends to 2025 by alex evans nov 21, 2008 the us national intelligence council which supports the director of national intelligence and is the centre for longrange analysis in the us intelligence community has just published a major report on global trends to 2025 pdf. Seattle office 1414 ne 42nd street, suite 300 seattle, wa 98105 tel. Outside the us, critical infrastructure degradation and economic loss on a global scale would result as approximately a third of the worldwide population became ill and hundreds of millions died. Global trends represents how the nic is thinking about the future. A transformed world oecdfao, 2008, agricultural outlook 2008 2017 richard portes, 2008, the international. The nics most recent global trends report, global trends. A world transformed and is available as a pdf document which you can download from a link at the end of the article.
Paradox of progress global trends and key implications through 2035 the rich are aging, the poor are not. National intelligence council, office of the director of national intelligence of the usa, 2008, global trends 2025. Nic 2025 outlook on the end of us dominance welcome to. National intelligence council nic, global trends 2025. In that spirit, this paper takes the futures explored in the national intelligence councils nics 2008 reportglobal trends 2025. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15.
Policy forum climate change and national security elizabeth l. Global trends 2025 now raises a series of questions about aging populations in the. Cui liru quanqiu shidai yu duoji shijie a multipolar world in the era of globaliza tion, xiandai guoji guanxi, no. Patient monitoring system based on internet of things. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council. A transformed worldas a baseline, then explores the implications of its major trends for u. Instead of american hegemony, it foresees a multipolar world, with china, india. In 2008, china overtook the us as the worlds largest saver. Its a 120 page document which can be downloaded for free in pdf format here. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence councils quadrennial global trends report is completely unclassified. The item global trends represents a specific, individual, material embodiment of a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in indiana state library. But scarcity, they argue, will be the hallmark of the new world.
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